Final Score: Phillies 1 - Mariners 4
Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 9:40 PM ET

Phillies @ Mariners

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
73-59 Rating 1550
Form: WWWWL
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.2
Mariners
63-69 Rating 1508
Form: LWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Mariners
All-time wins 14 15
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.4 4.3
Last meeting 2 9

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Mariners
Games played 132 132
Avg runs scored 4.6 4.0
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.4
Win percentage 55% 48%
Away win % / Home win % 55% 55%