Final Score: Mariners 7 - Astros 10
Friday, August 14, 2026 at 8:10 PM ET

Mariners @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mariners
57-65 Rating 1502
Form: LLLLW
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.4
Astros
62-60 Rating 1519
Form: LLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mariners Astros
All-time wins 104 136
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.0 4.6
Last meeting 8 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Mariners Astros
Games played 122 122
Avg runs scored 3.8 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.1 4.8
Win percentage 47% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 40% 51%