Final Score: Mariners 5 - Yankees 10
Wednesday, August 12, 2026 at 7:05 PM ET

Mariners @ Yankees

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mariners
56-64 Rating 1501
Form: LLLLL
Model Probability
40%
60%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +0.8
Yankees
67-52 Rating 1550
Form: LWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mariners Yankees
All-time wins 201 278
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.2 5.0
Last meeting 1 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Mariners Yankees
Games played 120 119
Avg runs scored 3.9 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.0 3.8
Win percentage 47% 56%
Away win % / Home win % 40% 54%