Final Score: Tigers 0 - Mariners 0
Tuesday, August 4, 2026 at 9:40 PM ET

Tigers @ Mariners

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Tigers
54-58 Rating 1500
Form: WLWWW
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: Seattle Mariners +0.4
Mariners
55-58 Rating 1512
Form: LLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Tigers

Scenario PlayoffsDivisionPennantTitle
Now 24%16%6%3%
If Win 29%20%9%4%
If Lose 19%15%5%2%

Mariners

Scenario PlayoffsDivisionPennantTitle
Now 43%32%8%5%
If Win 47%35%10%5%
If Lose 38%27%6%3%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Tigers Mariners
All-time wins 238 219
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.6 4.5
Last meeting 5 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Tigers Mariners
Games played 112 113
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.0
Avg runs conceded 3.9 4.0
Win percentage 48% 49%
Away win % / Home win % 44% 57%