Final Score: Rays 4 - Mariners 1
Sunday, August 9, 2026 at 4:10 PM ET
Rays @ Mariners
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Rays | Mariners |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 99 | 119 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average runs | 4.2 | 4.3 |
| Last meeting | 3 | 2 |
| Stat | Rays | Mariners |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 116 | 118 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.4 | 3.9 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.1 | 4.0 |
| Win percentage | 60% | 47% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 51% | 54% |
Recent Results
Rays
@ Seattle Mariners
Aug 8, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Seattle Mariners
Aug 7, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Colorado Rockies
Aug 5, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0
@ Colorado Rockies
Aug 4, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 16
9-7
@ Colorado Rockies
Aug 3, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 22
13-9
vs Chicago White Sox
Aug 2, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 10
1-9
vs Chicago White Sox
Aug 1, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0
vs Chicago White Sox
Jul 31, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
vs Texas Rangers
Jul 30, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Texas Rangers
Jul 29, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
Mariners
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Aug 8, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Aug 7, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs Detroit Tigers
Aug 6, 2026 · Margin: -11 · Total: 11
0-11
vs Detroit Tigers
Aug 5, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs Detroit Tigers
Aug 4, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 8
0-8
vs Minnesota Twins
Aug 2, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 13
7-6
vs Minnesota Twins
Aug 1, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Minnesota Twins
Jul 31, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Jul 30, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Jul 29, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4