Final Score: Rays 0 - Rockies 0
Tuesday, August 4, 2026 at 8:40 PM ET

Rays @ Rockies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Rays
66-46 Rating 1526
Form: WLWLW
Model Probability
61%
39%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Rays +1.0
Rockies
45-68 Rating 1399
Form: LWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Rays

Scenario PlayoffsDivisionPennantTitle
Now 99%61%15%6%
If Win 99%61%15%6%
If Lose 98%54%13%5%

Rockies

Scenario PlayoffsDivisionPennantTitle
Now <1%<1%<1%<1%
If Win <1%<1%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%<1%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Rays Rockies
All-time wins 19 12
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 6.1 4.9
Last meeting 13 9

Key Season Stats

Stat Rays Rockies
Games played 112 113
Avg runs scored 4.4 4.8
Avg runs conceded 4.1 5.7
Win percentage 59% 40%
Away win % / Home win % 47% 47%