Final Score: Rangers 4 - Rays 1
Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET

Rangers @ Rays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Rangers
54-52 Rating 1503
Form: LWWLW
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Rays +0.5
Rays
62-43 Rating 1527
Form: WLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Rangers Rays
All-time wins 125 103
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 5.0 4.6
Last meeting 3 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Rangers Rays
Games played 106 105
Avg runs scored 4.2 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.1
Win percentage 51% 59%
Away win % / Home win % 49% 72%