Final Score: Rays 1 - Blue Jays 3
Thursday, July 23, 2026 at 3:07 PM ET
Rays @ Blue Jays
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Rays | Blue Jays |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 271 | 217 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average runs | 4.7 | 4.4 |
| Last meeting | 4 | 2 |
| Stat | Rays | Blue Jays |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 101 | 102 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.5 | 3.9 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.2 | 4.6 |
| Win percentage | 58% | 45% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 47% | 45% |
Recent Results
Rays
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Jul 22, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Jul 21, 2026 · Margin: +10 · Total: 14
12-2
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Jul 20, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 8
7-1
@ Boston Red Sox
Jul 19, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
@ Boston Red Sox
Jul 18, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 13
6-7
@ Boston Red Sox
Jul 17, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
@ Boston Red Sox
Jul 17, 2026 · Margin: -10 · Total: 10
0-10
vs Seattle Mariners
Jul 12, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 10
2-8
vs Seattle Mariners
Jul 11, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
vs Seattle Mariners
Jul 10, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2
Blue Jays
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 22, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 21, 2026 · Margin: -10 · Total: 14
2-12
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 20, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 8
1-7
vs Chicago White Sox
Jul 19, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0-3
vs Chicago White Sox
Jul 18, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0
vs Chicago White Sox
Jul 17, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 16
4-12
@ San Diego Padres
Jul 12, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
@ San Diego Padres
Jul 11, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 15
7-8
@ San Diego Padres
Jul 10, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
@ San Francisco Giants
Jul 8, 2026 · Margin: +10 · Total: 10
10-0