Final Score: Mariners 1 - Rays 6
Saturday, July 11, 2026 at 4:10 PM ET
Mariners @ Rays
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Mariners | Rays |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 118 | 96 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average runs | 4.4 | 4.2 |
| Last meeting | 2 | 7 |
| Stat | Mariners | Rays |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 95 | 92 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.0 | 4.5 |
| Avg runs conceded | 3.9 | 4.2 |
| Win percentage | 49% | 60% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 42% | 71% |
Recent Results
Mariners
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 10, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 9
2-7
@ Miami Marlins
Jul 9, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 12
4-8
@ Miami Marlins
Jul 8, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
@ Miami Marlins
Jul 7, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Jul 5, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Jul 4, 2026 · Margin: +11 · Total: 11
11-0
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Jul 3, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
vs Los Angeles Angels
Jul 2, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0
vs Los Angeles Angels
Jun 30, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 11
8-3
vs Los Angeles Angels
Jun 29, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
Rays
vs Seattle Mariners
Jul 10, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2
vs New York Yankees
Jul 9, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 16
4-12
vs New York Yankees
Jul 8, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
vs New York Yankees
Jul 7, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
vs New York Yankees
Jul 6, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
@ Houston Astros
Jul 5, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
@ Houston Astros
Jul 4, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 18
8-10
@ Houston Astros
Jul 3, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
@ Kansas City Royals
Jul 2, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
@ Kansas City Royals
Jul 1, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0