Final Score: Yankees 5 - Rays 1
Monday, July 6, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET

Yankees @ Rays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Yankees
49-40 Rating 1542
Form: LLWLL
Model Probability
48%
52%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Rays +0.0
Rays
52-35 Rating 1523
Form: WWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Yankees Rays
All-time wins 275 211
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.8 4.1
Last meeting 2 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Yankees Rays
Games played 89 87
Avg runs scored 4.8 4.6
Avg runs conceded 3.9 4.1
Win percentage 55% 60%
Away win % / Home win % 57% 72%