Final Score: Yankees 1 - Red Sox 4
Saturday, June 27, 2026 at 1:10 PM ET

Yankees @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Yankees
48-33 Rating 1557
Form: LWWLL
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +0.4
Red Sox
34-46 Rating 1500
Form: LWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Yankees Red Sox
All-time wins 473 448
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.8 4.7
Last meeting 1 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Yankees Red Sox
Games played 81 80
Avg runs scored 5.0 4.0
Avg runs conceded 3.7 4.0
Win percentage 59% 42%
Away win % / Home win % 59% 36%