Final Score: Yankees 1 - Red Sox 6
Friday, June 26, 2026 at 7:10 PM ET

Yankees @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Yankees
48-32 Rating 1560
Form: LLWWL
Model Probability
54%
46%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +0.4
Red Sox
33-46 Rating 1498
Form: LLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Yankees Red Sox
All-time wins 473 447
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.8 4.7
Last meeting 3 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Yankees Red Sox
Games played 80 79
Avg runs scored 5.0 4.0
Avg runs conceded 3.7 4.0
Win percentage 60% 42%
Away win % / Home win % 60% 34%