Final Score: Blue Jays 6 - Red Sox 1
Tuesday, June 16, 2026 at 6:45 PM ET

Blue Jays @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Blue Jays
34-38 Rating 1521
Form: WLWLL
Model Probability
48%
52%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.0
Red Sox
29-40 Rating 1502
Form: LLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Blue Jays Red Sox
All-time wins 341 403
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.8 5.0
Last meeting 8 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Blue Jays Red Sox
Games played 72 69
Avg runs scored 4.1 4.0
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.1
Win percentage 47% 42%
Away win % / Home win % 39% 35%