Final Score: Orioles 1 - Red Sox 8
Wednesday, June 3, 2026 at 6:45 PM ET

Orioles @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Orioles
29-32 Rating 1497
Form: LLWWW
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.3
Red Sox
25-34 Rating 1506
Form: LLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Orioles Red Sox
All-time wins 395 488
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.4 5.0
Last meeting 4 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Orioles Red Sox
Games played 61 59
Avg runs scored 4.6 3.9
Avg runs conceded 5.2 4.1
Win percentage 48% 42%
Away win % / Home win % 37% 31%