Final Score: Blue Jays 5 - Orioles 9
Sunday, May 31, 2026 at 12:15 PM ET
Blue Jays @ Orioles
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Blue Jays | Orioles |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 403 | 345 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average runs | 4.7 | 4.5 |
| Last meeting | 5 | 6 |
| Stat | Blue Jays | Orioles |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 59 | 59 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.1 | 4.5 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.1 | 5.2 |
| Win percentage | 49% | 46% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 41% | 55% |
Recent Results
Blue Jays
@ Baltimore Orioles
May 30, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ Baltimore Orioles
May 29, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
@ Baltimore Orioles
May 28, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Miami Marlins
May 27, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Miami Marlins
May 26, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 9
8-1
vs Miami Marlins
May 25, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 10
2-8
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
May 24, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
May 23, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
May 22, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
@ New York Yankees
May 21, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
Orioles
vs Toronto Blue Jays
May 30, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs Toronto Blue Jays
May 29, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
vs Toronto Blue Jays
May 28, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs Tampa Bay Rays
May 27, 2026 · Margin: +9 · Total: 13
11-2
vs Tampa Bay Rays
May 26, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
vs Tampa Bay Rays
May 25, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 16
9-7
vs Detroit Tigers
May 24, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs Detroit Tigers
May 24, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs Detroit Tigers
May 22, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 11
7-4
@ Tampa Bay Rays
May 20, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5