Final Score: Orioles 4 - Red Sox 2
Tuesday, June 2, 2026 at 6:45 PM ET

Orioles @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Orioles
28-32 Rating 1494
Form: WLLWW
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.4
Red Sox
25-33 Rating 1508
Form: WLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Orioles Red Sox
All-time wins 394 488
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.4 5.0
Last meeting 3 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Orioles Red Sox
Games played 60 58
Avg runs scored 4.6 4.0
Avg runs conceded 5.2 4.1
Win percentage 47% 43%
Away win % / Home win % 35% 32%