Final Score: Red Sox 9 - Guardians 1
Saturday, May 30, 2026 at 4:10 PM ET

Red Sox @ Guardians

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
23-33 Rating 1504
Form: LLWLL
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Cleveland Guardians +0.5
Guardians
34-25 Rating 1533
Form: WLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Guardians
All-time wins 345 295
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 5.1 4.5
Last meeting 3 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Guardians
Games played 56 59
Avg runs scored 3.8 4.1
Avg runs conceded 4.1 3.9
Win percentage 41% 58%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 59%