Final Score: Red Sox 7 - Royals 1
Tuesday, May 19, 2026 at 7:40 PM ET

Red Sox @ Royals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
20-27 Rating 1510
Form: LLWLW
Model Probability
50%
50%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.1
Royals
20-28 Rating 1478
Form: LLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Royals
All-time wins 267 249
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.9 4.5
Last meeting 3 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Royals
Games played 47 48
Avg runs scored 3.6 4.0
Avg runs conceded 4.0 4.4
Win percentage 43% 42%
Away win % / Home win % 48% 54%