Final Score: Red Sox 1 - Braves 8
Sunday, May 17, 2026 at 1:35 PM ET
Red Sox @ Braves
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Red Sox | Braves |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 54 | 48 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.6 | 4.5 |
| Last meeting | 3 | 2 |
| Stat | Red Sox | Braves |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 45 | 46 |
| Avg runs scored | 3.7 | 5.3 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.0 | 3.3 |
| Win percentage | 42% | 67% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 48% | 65% |
Recent Results
Red Sox
@ Atlanta Braves
May 16, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Atlanta Braves
May 15, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Philadelphia Phillies
May 14, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs Philadelphia Phillies
May 13, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
vs Philadelphia Phillies
May 12, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs Tampa Bay Rays
May 10, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs Tampa Bay Rays
May 8, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
vs Tampa Bay Rays
May 7, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 12
4-8
@ Detroit Tigers
May 6, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0
@ Detroit Tigers
May 5, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 13
10-3
Braves
vs Boston Red Sox
May 16, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Boston Red Sox
May 15, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Chicago Cubs
May 14, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
vs Chicago Cubs
May 13, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs Chicago Cubs
May 12, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
May 10, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
May 9, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
May 8, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
@ Seattle Mariners
May 6, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
@ Seattle Mariners
May 5, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2