Final Score: Cubs 2 - Braves 0
Thursday, May 14, 2026 at 7:15 PM ET

Cubs @ Braves

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
27-16 Rating 1543
Form: WLLLL
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: Atlanta Braves +0.2
Braves
30-13 Rating 1540
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Braves
All-time wins 248 275
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.3 4.5
Last meeting 1 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Braves
Games played 43 43
Avg runs scored 5.1 5.5
Avg runs conceded 4.1 3.3
Win percentage 63% 70%
Away win % / Home win % 45% 70%