Final Score: Reds 6 - Cubs 7
Wednesday, May 6, 2026 at 7:40 PM ET

Reds @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Reds
20-16 Rating 1502
Form: LLLLL
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.7
Cubs
24-12 Rating 1546
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Reds Cubs
All-time wins 414 384
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.6 4.7
Last meeting 2 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Reds Cubs
Games played 36 36
Avg runs scored 4.1 5.4
Avg runs conceded 4.8 4.1
Win percentage 56% 67%
Away win % / Home win % 56% 76%