Final Score: Cubs 8 - Padres 3
Tuesday, April 28, 2026 at 9:40 PM ET
Cubs @ Padres
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Cubs | Padres |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 289 | 244 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.4 | 4.0 |
| Last meeting | 7 | 9 |
| Stat | Cubs | Padres |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 29 | 28 |
| Avg runs scored | 5.4 | 4.7 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.4 | 4.2 |
| Win percentage | 59% | 68% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 46% | 71% |
Recent Results
Cubs
@ San Diego Padres
Apr 27, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 16
7-9
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Apr 26, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 6
0-6
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Apr 25, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 16
4-12
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Apr 24, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Apr 23, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 15
8-7
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Apr 22, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Apr 21, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 11
7-4
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Apr 20, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs New York Mets
Apr 19, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs New York Mets
Apr 18, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
Padres
vs Chicago Cubs
Apr 27, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 16
9-7
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Apr 26, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 19
7-12
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Apr 25, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
@ Colorado Rockies
Apr 23, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 18
10-8
@ Colorado Rockies
Apr 22, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 11
3-8
@ Colorado Rockies
Apr 21, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0
@ Los Angeles Angels
Apr 19, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Los Angeles Angels
Apr 18, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Los Angeles Angels
Apr 17, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 8
0-8
vs Seattle Mariners
Apr 16, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2