Final Score: Phillies 4 - Cubs 7
Tuesday, April 21, 2026 at 7:40 PM ET
Phillies @ Cubs
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Phillies | Cubs |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 347 | 311 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.7 | 4.5 |
| Last meeting | 1 | 5 |
| Stat | Phillies | Cubs |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 22 | 22 |
| Avg runs scored | 3.5 | 5.3 |
| Avg runs conceded | 5.4 | 3.8 |
| Win percentage | 36% | 59% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 43% | 62% |
Recent Results
Phillies
@ Chicago Cubs
Apr 20, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
vs Atlanta Braves
Apr 19, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
vs Atlanta Braves
Apr 18, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs Atlanta Braves
Apr 17, 2026 · Margin: -9 · Total: 9
0-9
vs Chicago Cubs
Apr 15, 2026 · Margin: -9 · Total: 13
2-11
vs Chicago Cubs
Apr 14, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 14
4-10
vs Chicago Cubs
Apr 13, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 20
13-7
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Apr 12, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Apr 11, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Apr 10, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
Cubs
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Apr 20, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs New York Mets
Apr 19, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs New York Mets
Apr 18, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs New York Mets
Apr 17, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 16
12-4
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Apr 15, 2026 · Margin: +9 · Total: 13
11-2
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Apr 14, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 14
10-4
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Apr 13, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 20
7-13
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Apr 12, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 13
7-6
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Apr 11, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Apr 10, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2