Final Score: Pirates 6 - Cubs 7
Sunday, April 12, 2026 at 2:20 PM ET

Pirates @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
9-5 Rating 1480
Form: LWLWW
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.6
Cubs
6-8 Rating 1519
Form: LWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Cubs
All-time wins 481 459
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.5 4.5
Last meeting 4 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Cubs
Games played 14 14
Avg runs scored 4.3 4.2
Avg runs conceded 3.6 3.6
Win percentage 64% 43%
Away win % / Home win % 62% 38%