Final Score: Padres 8 - Pirates 2
Wednesday, April 8, 2026 at 12:35 PM ET

Padres @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Padres
5-6 Rating 1534
Form: LWWWL
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.4
Pirates
7-4 Rating 1477
Form: WWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres Pirates
All-time wins 246 276
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.1 4.4
Last meeting 1 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres Pirates
Games played 11 11
Avg runs scored 3.5 4.7
Avg runs conceded 4.2 3.6
Win percentage 45% 64%
Away win % / Home win % 60% 80%