Final Score: Padres 3 - Red Sox 2
Saturday, April 4, 2026 at 4:10 PM ET
Padres @ Red Sox
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Padres | Red Sox |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 12 | 19 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 3.3 | 4.2 |
| Last meeting | 2 | 5 |
| Stat | Padres | Red Sox |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 7 | 7 |
| Avg runs scored | 3.0 | 3.1 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.4 | 4.9 |
| Win percentage | 29% | 29% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 0% | 100% |
Recent Results
Padres
@ Boston Red Sox
Apr 3, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
vs San Francisco Giants
Apr 1, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 8
7-1
vs San Francisco Giants
Mar 31, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 12
3-9
vs San Francisco Giants
Mar 30, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Detroit Tigers
Mar 28, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
vs Detroit Tigers
Mar 27, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
vs Detroit Tigers
Mar 26, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 10
2-8
@ Chicago Cubs
Oct 2, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
@ Chicago Cubs
Oct 1, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
@ Chicago Cubs
Sep 30, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
Red Sox
vs San Diego Padres
Apr 3, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
@ Houston Astros
Apr 1, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 10
4-6
@ Houston Astros
Mar 31, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 11
2-9
@ Houston Astros
Mar 30, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 9
1-8
@ Cincinnati Reds
Mar 29, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Cincinnati Reds
Mar 28, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ Cincinnati Reds
Mar 26, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
@ New York Yankees
Oct 2, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 4
0-4
@ New York Yankees
Oct 1, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ New York Yankees
Sep 30, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1