Final Score: Red Sox 0 - Yankees 4
Thursday, October 2, 2025 at 8:08 PM ET

Red Sox @ Yankees

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
90-74 Rating 1528
Form: WLWWL
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +0.5
Yankees
95-69 Rating 1558
Form: WWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Yankees
All-time wins 445 468
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.7 4.8
Last meeting 3 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Yankees
Games played 164 164
Avg runs scored 4.8 5.2
Avg runs conceded 4.2 4.2
Win percentage 55% 58%
Away win % / Home win % 51% 61%