Final Score: Yankees 6 - Orioles 1
Saturday, September 20, 2025 at 7:05 PM ET

Yankees @ Orioles

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Yankees
86-68 Rating 1546
Form: LWWWL
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +0.1
Orioles
73-81 Rating 1510
Form: WWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Yankees Orioles
All-time wins 507 385
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.9 4.3
Last meeting 2 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Yankees Orioles
Games played 154 154
Avg runs scored 5.2 4.2
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.9
Win percentage 56% 47%
Away win % / Home win % 53% 49%