Final Score: Yankees 2 - Orioles 4
Friday, September 19, 2025 at 7:05 PM ET

Yankees @ Orioles

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Yankees
86-67 Rating 1548
Form: LLWWW
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +0.2
Orioles
72-81 Rating 1508
Form: LWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Yankees Orioles
All-time wins 507 384
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.9 4.3
Last meeting 7 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Yankees Orioles
Games played 153 153
Avg runs scored 5.2 4.2
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.9
Win percentage 56% 47%
Away win % / Home win % 54% 48%