Final Score: Pirates 2 - Orioles 3
Tuesday, September 9, 2025 at 6:35 PM ET

Pirates @ Orioles

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
64-80 Rating 1470
Form: WWLLL
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Baltimore Orioles +0.6
Orioles
66-77 Rating 1505
Form: WWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Orioles
All-time wins 20 23
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.4 4.6
Last meeting 3 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Orioles
Games played 144 143
Avg runs scored 3.6 4.3
Avg runs conceded 4.1 4.9
Win percentage 44% 46%
Away win % / Home win % 32% 46%