Final Score: Pirates 4 - Red Sox 2
Friday, August 29, 2025 at 7:10 PM ET

Pirates @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
59-76 Rating 1465
Form: WLWWL
Model Probability
39%
61%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.9
Red Sox
75-60 Rating 1529
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Red Sox
All-time wins 11 13
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 3.5 4.3
Last meeting 1 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Red Sox
Games played 135 135
Avg runs scored 3.6 4.9
Avg runs conceded 4.1 4.1
Win percentage 44% 56%
Away win % / Home win % 30% 62%