Final Score: Red Sox 1 - Yankees 0
Friday, August 22, 2025 at 7:05 PM ET

Red Sox @ Yankees

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
69-59 Rating 1518
Form: WLLLW
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +0.4
Yankees
69-58 Rating 1539
Form: WWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Yankees
All-time wins 441 464
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average runs 4.7 4.8
Last meeting 6 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Yankees
Games played 128 127
Avg runs scored 5.0 5.2
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.3
Win percentage 54% 54%
Away win % / Home win % 45% 59%