Final Score: Marlins 5 - Red Sox 3
Sunday, August 17, 2025 at 1:35 PM ET
Marlins @ Red Sox
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Marlins | Red Sox |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 16 | 36 |
| Last 5 meetings | 0 | 5 |
| Average runs | 4.3 | 5.9 |
| Last meeting | 5 | 7 |
| Stat | Marlins | Red Sox |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 123 | 124 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.3 | 5.0 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.8 | 4.2 |
| Win percentage | 47% | 55% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 47% | 65% |
Recent Results
Marlins
@ Boston Red Sox
Aug 16, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 12
5-7
@ Boston Red Sox
Aug 15, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Cleveland Guardians
Aug 14, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 13
4-9
@ Cleveland Guardians
Aug 13, 2025 · Margin: +9 · Total: 17
13-4
@ Cleveland Guardians
Aug 12, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Atlanta Braves
Aug 10, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 8
1-7
@ Atlanta Braves
Aug 9, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 14
6-8
@ Atlanta Braves
Aug 9, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 8
1-7
@ Atlanta Braves
Aug 8, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
@ Atlanta Braves
Aug 7, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 14
6-8
Red Sox
vs Miami Marlins
Aug 16, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 12
7-5
vs Miami Marlins
Aug 15, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Houston Astros
Aug 13, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
@ Houston Astros
Aug 12, 2025 · Margin: +13 · Total: 15
14-1
@ Houston Astros
Aug 11, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 13
6-7
@ San Diego Padres
Aug 10, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
@ San Diego Padres
Aug 9, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
@ San Diego Padres
Aug 8, 2025 · Margin: +8 · Total: 12
10-2
vs Kansas City Royals
Aug 6, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 10
3-7
vs Kansas City Royals
Aug 5, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2