Final Score: Marlins 3 - Guardians 4
Tuesday, August 12, 2025 at 6:40 PM ET

Marlins @ Guardians

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
57-61 Rating 1475
Form: LWLLL
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: Cleveland Guardians +0.6
Guardians
61-56 Rating 1514
Form: WWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Guardians
All-time wins 18 17
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 3.7 4.1
Last meeting 3 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Guardians
Games played 118 117
Avg runs scored 4.3 4.0
Avg runs conceded 4.8 4.1
Win percentage 48% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 49% 52%