Final Score: Yankees 3 - Marlins 7
Sunday, August 3, 2025 at 1:40 PM ET

Yankees @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Yankees
60-51 Rating 1537
Form: WWWLL
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +0.4
Marlins
54-55 Rating 1479
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Yankees Marlins
All-time wins 24 24
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.2 4.2
Last meeting 0 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Yankees Marlins
Games played 111 109
Avg runs scored 5.2 4.3
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.7
Win percentage 54% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 47% 47%