Final Score: Padres 2 - Marlins 3
Wednesday, July 23, 2025 at 12:10 PM ET
Padres @ Marlins
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Padres | Marlins |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 121 | 107 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.3 | 4.2 |
| Last meeting | 3 | 4 |
| Stat | Padres | Marlins |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 101 | 100 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.0 | 4.3 |
| Avg runs conceded | 3.8 | 4.8 |
| Win percentage | 54% | 47% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 46% | 44% |
Recent Results
Padres
@ Miami Marlins
Jul 22, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Miami Marlins
Jul 21, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Washington Nationals
Jul 20, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 9
8-1
@ Washington Nationals
Jul 19, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ Washington Nationals
Jul 18, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Jul 13, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Jul 12, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Jul 11, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Jul 10, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Jul 9, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 10
2-8
Marlins
vs San Diego Padres
Jul 22, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs San Diego Padres
Jul 21, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs Kansas City Royals
Jul 20, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 11
4-7
vs Kansas City Royals
Jul 19, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
vs Kansas City Royals
Jul 18, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 15
8-7
@ Baltimore Orioles
Jul 13, 2025 · Margin: +10 · Total: 12
11-1
@ Baltimore Orioles
Jul 12, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 6
6-0
@ Baltimore Orioles
Jul 11, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
@ Cincinnati Reds
Jul 10, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 6
0-6
@ Cincinnati Reds
Jul 9, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 9
2-7