Final Score: Diamondbacks 3 - Padres 4
Thursday, July 10, 2025 at 9:40 PM ET
Diamondbacks @ Padres
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Diamondbacks | Padres |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 246 | 227 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.6 | 4.3 |
| Last meeting | 8 | 2 |
| Stat | Diamondbacks | Padres |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 93 | 92 |
| Avg runs scored | 5.1 | 4.0 |
| Avg runs conceded | 5.0 | 4.0 |
| Win percentage | 49% | 53% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 51% | 62% |
Recent Results
Diamondbacks
@ San Diego Padres
Jul 9, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 10
8-2
@ San Diego Padres
Jul 8, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0-1
@ San Diego Padres
Jul 7, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
vs Kansas City Royals
Jul 6, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 4
0-4
vs Kansas City Royals
Jul 5, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 8
7-1
vs Kansas City Royals
Jul 4, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 12
3-9
vs San Francisco Giants
Jul 3, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 9
2-7
vs San Francisco Giants
Jul 2, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
vs San Francisco Giants
Jul 1, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 10
8-2
vs San Francisco Giants
Jun 30, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
Padres
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Jul 9, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 10
2-8
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Jul 8, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Jul 7, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
vs Texas Rangers
Jul 6, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs Texas Rangers
Jul 5, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 11
4-7
vs Texas Rangers
Jul 4, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Jul 2, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Jul 2, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Jun 30, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 4
0-4
@ Cincinnati Reds
Jun 29, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3