Final Score: Padres 0 - Phillies 4
Monday, June 30, 2025 at 6:35 PM ET

Padres @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Padres
45-38 Rating 1540
Form: WWLWL
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.4
Phillies
49-35 Rating 1550
Form: LLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres Phillies
All-time wins 227 293
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.1 4.4
Last meeting 5 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres Phillies
Games played 83 84
Avg runs scored 4.2 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.0 4.0
Win percentage 54% 58%
Away win % / Home win % 45% 65%