Final Score: Nationals 10 - Padres 6
Monday, June 23, 2025 at 9:40 PM ET

Nationals @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
32-46 Rating 1444
Form: LWLWL
Model Probability
35%
65%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +1.3
Padres
42-35 Rating 1542
Form: LWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Padres
All-time wins 267 246
Last 5 meetings 0 5
Average runs 4.2 4.0
Last meeting 0 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Padres
Games played 78 77
Avg runs scored 4.2 4.2
Avg runs conceded 5.2 3.9
Win percentage 41% 55%
Away win % / Home win % 42% 64%