Final Score: Royals 1 - Padres 5
Saturday, June 21, 2025 at 7:15 PM ET

Royals @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Royals
38-38 Rating 1483
Form: LWWWW
Model Probability
39%
61%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.8
Padres
40-35 Rating 1539
Form: LLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Royals Padres
All-time wins 11 14
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 5.6 5.3
Last meeting 6 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Royals Padres
Games played 76 75
Avg runs scored 3.4 4.2
Avg runs conceded 3.6 4.0
Win percentage 50% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 62%