Nationals @ Phillies
Nationals
Model Probability
Phillies
Philadelphia Phillies +1.1
Washington Nationals
MLB 2026 season
Record
55-59
VS EXPECTED
4.3
Rating
1461
Rating Rank
25
Season Outlook
Full Playoff ChancesRating trend through time
| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 2026 | 3–6 | Phillies +3 | Phillies +1.0 | Regular Season | |
| Aug 2, 2026 | 2–4 | Braves +2 | Braves +0.9 | Regular Season | |
| Aug 1, 2026 | 3–8 | Braves +5 | Braves +0.9 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 31, 2026 | 2–6 | Braves +4 | Braves +0.9 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 30, 2026 | 4–5 | Braves +1 | Braves +0.9 | Regular Season |
| Matchup | Record | Win % | Vs Expected | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nationals Phillies | 463-511-7 | 47.5% | -13.0 | 920 |
| Nationals Mets | 480-489-6 | 49.5% | +8.5 | 912 |
| Nationals Braves | 391-441-2 | 47.0% | +2.7 | 798 |
| Nationals Pirates | 322-348 | 48.1% | -5.3 | 636 |
| Nationals Cardinals | 321-349-4 | 47.9% | +0.3 | 634 |
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