Final Score: Mets 0 - Nationals 0
Friday, September 25, 2026 at 6:45 PM ET

Mets @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mets
72-85 Rating 1495
Form: LWWLW
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: New York Mets +0.2
Nationals
74-84 Rating 1458
Form: WWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mets Nationals
All-time wins 492 480
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.2 4.1
Last meeting 4 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Mets Nationals
Games played 157 158
Avg runs scored 4.3 5.1
Avg runs conceded 4.5 5.0
Win percentage 46% 47%
Away win % / Home win % 47% 47%