Mets @ Rangers

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Mets 1 - Rangers 3
Thursday, September 24, 2026 at 2:35 PM ET
New York
Mets
73-85 Rating 1497
Form: WWLWW
1 – 3
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: Texas Rangers +0.2
Texas
Rangers
78-80 Rating 1493
Form: WWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mets Rangers
All-time wins 18 12
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 5.7 4.3
Last meeting 7 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Mets Rangers
Games played 158 158
Avg runs scored 4.3 4.2
Avg runs conceded 4.5 4.4
Win percentage 46% 49%
Away win % / Home win % 48% 55%