Final Score: Mets 0 - Rangers 0
Tuesday, September 22, 2026 at 8:05 PM ET

Mets @ Rangers

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mets
71-85 Rating 1493
Form: LLWWL
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: Texas Rangers +0.3
Rangers
78-78 Rating 1497
Form: WLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Mets

Scenario PlayoffsDivisionPennantTitle
Now <1%<1%<1%<1%
If Win <1%<1%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%<1%

Rangers

Scenario PlayoffsDivisionPennantTitle
Now 66%64%7%1%
If Win 79%76%8%1%
If Lose 50%49%3%<1%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mets Rangers
All-time wins 16 12
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 5.6 4.4
Last meeting 5 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Mets Rangers
Games played 156 156
Avg runs scored 4.3 4.2
Avg runs conceded 4.5 4.4
Win percentage 46% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 47% 56%