Final Score: Mets 4 - Yankees 6
Friday, September 11, 2026 at 7:05 PM ET

Mets @ Yankees

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mets
68-78 Rating 1499
Form: LWWWW
Model Probability
39%
61%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +0.9
Yankees
84-62 Rating 1556
Form: WLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mets Yankees
All-time wins 72 88
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.5 4.7
Last meeting 7 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Mets Yankees
Games played 146 146
Avg runs scored 4.3 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.6 3.7
Win percentage 47% 58%
Away win % / Home win % 47% 56%