Final Score: Yankees 3 - Padres 4
Sunday, September 6, 2026 at 4:10 PM ET

Yankees @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Yankees
81-61 Rating 1555
Form: LWWLW
Model Probability
49%
51%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +0.0
Padres
74-68 Rating 1529
Form: WLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Yankees Padres
All-time wins 22 11
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.6 3.4
Last meeting 5 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Yankees Padres
Games played 142 142
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.2
Avg runs conceded 3.7 4.2
Win percentage 57% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 59% 59%