Final Score: Padres 3 - Reds 7
Wednesday, September 2, 2026 at 12:40 PM ET

Padres @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Padres
73-66 Rating 1531
Form: LLLWL
Model Probability
52%
48%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.2
Reds
66-73 Rating 1487
Form: WLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres Reds
All-time wins 314 354
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.0 4.5
Last meeting 3 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres Reds
Games played 139 139
Avg runs scored 4.3 4.1
Avg runs conceded 4.2 4.9
Win percentage 53% 47%
Away win % / Home win % 46% 47%