Final Score: Pirates 3 - Padres 2
Monday, August 24, 2026 at 9:40 PM ET

Pirates @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
63-69 Rating 1476
Form: WWLLL
Model Probability
39%
61%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.9
Padres
71-60 Rating 1540
Form: WLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Padres
All-time wins 276 247
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.4 4.1
Last meeting 2 8

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Padres
Games played 132 131
Avg runs scored 4.9 4.3
Avg runs conceded 4.8 4.2
Win percentage 48% 54%
Away win % / Home win % 44% 61%