Final Score: Red Sox 4 - Pirates 0
Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 7:15 PM ET

Red Sox @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
65-57 Rating 1533
Form: LLLWL
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.3
Pirates
60-64 Rating 1478
Form: LLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Pirates
All-time wins 14 14
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.1 3.9
Last meeting 4 8

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Pirates
Games played 122 124
Avg runs scored 4.4 5.0
Avg runs conceded 3.8 4.8
Win percentage 53% 48%
Away win % / Home win % 58% 51%