Final Score: Pirates 2 - Brewers 5
Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 2:10 PM ET

Pirates @ Brewers

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
57-59 Rating 1481
Form: WLWLL
Model Probability
36%
64%
Projected margin: Milwaukee Brewers +1.2
Brewers
71-43 Rating 1569
Form: WLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Brewers
All-time wins 202 261
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.1 4.8
Last meeting 2 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Brewers
Games played 116 114
Avg runs scored 5.1 5.0
Avg runs conceded 4.8 3.8
Win percentage 49% 62%
Away win % / Home win % 47% 64%